> scientists today are coming upon many things where no similar event has even been observed.
The things they are coming up with can be confirmed. I am saying that if we are looking at a claim of an unconfirmed past event, an explanation that occurs commonly is more likely to be true than a proposed explanation that has never been confirmed to have happened before and for which no analogous explanation has ever been confirmed.
> What available historical evidence do we have that is inconsistent with it?
The lack of any other writers mentioning this or the subsequent fallout from it.
> This is especially untrue with regard to the Gospels. Matthew has many unique events, as do Luke and John.
That is what we would expect if people with religious motivations are fabricating stories long after the fact.
> First, many miracles have actually been confirmed as having happened.
I don't think that is the case. More likely we have confirmed things as having happened that we can't explain.
> Why can't the causal continuum be rent by the interference of supernatural, transcendent powers?
Maybe they can, but there is no good reason to think they do until such a thing is demonstrated to be likely true.
> What did Matthew have to gain by making up such a story?
Probably similar to Joseph Smith, John of Leiden, Muhammad, etc. For some reason they made false statements about supernatural beings. Maybe they were self serving, maybe crazy, maybe liked attention, maybe they actually had visions. There is no way to know in each case.
> His Gospel is written in a sober and responsible style, with accurate incidental details, obvious care in the telling, and some exactitude
Like any historical fiction.
> So what if they intended to write reliably historiography
It's pretty apparent they did not. They write anonymously without citing sources, without critically examining sources, and just stating what happened as though he was an omniscient narrator in a storybook.
> Is there anything in Matthew's writing to make us think he's a loony toon or a demented or hopelessly inaccurate source?
There is if you are not indoctrinated into the religion. You can see immediately that Joseph Smith was probably a loony toon, but Mormons read about him and think there is nothing to make us think he's a loony toon or a demented or hopelessly inaccurate source.
> There was obviously no collusion among the Gospel writers.
This is contrary to almost all biblical scholars who would unanimously agree that Matthew and Luke both copied from Mark. Something that you obviously wouldn't do if you witnessed these events yourself.
> Did Matthew have reason to skew the material?
Yes, he was most likely a devout follower of Christianity. Like Christians today he probably being a Christian was great and that others would benefit from also becoming Christians. So he wants to portray his religious heroes in the best light possible while telling a compelling story that would convince other to become Christians.
> Telling this story makes people look askew at his whole story.
Yes, with good reason. But at the time people were extremely gullible and stories of even crazier events than this spread like crazy.
> We only have slight corroboration of this event in the Church Fathers.
The only way any church fathers would have known about the event is through this text.
> Were others present who would contradict or refute this story?
Yes, all the people in Jerusalem at the time who would have had to witness these events if they happened, but for whom it has absolutely no impact on their lives. They don't record it, don't tell others, don't become Christians, and just go on as usual. After witnessing events that would be far more earth shattering than the resurrection of Jesus, or Jesus doing faith healing or exorcisms. This would have been the most impactful event of any described in the NT, but nobody (not even other Christians) seemed to care about it enough to even mention.