Hey there, appreciate the response. Definitely well crafted.
I think I understand your point of view in regards to Occams Razor in that you find that God is more probable and that God should be the default. But I still assert adding God makes it more complex, and adds more assumptions.
If you say God used natural process to create the universe, then it involves all that complexity, plus god, which is additional complexity and contradictory to Occams Razor.
The fine tuning argument could remain the same if our universe had different parameters. We wouldnt know otherwise. So what universe are we comparing it to that makes you think it's fine tuned? None, as far as I can tell. We have no evidence that a universe could be any other way than our is. That does not imply God, unless you can demonstrate your claim that it's very unlikely the universe would exist without God. The big bang model does not imply God. That is only an afterthought with religious bias. Can we show certain phenomena raises the probability of God? No, it's not able to demonstrated, no matter how smart it sounds.
Speaking of smart, you mentioned Hawking a couple times. Here is a quote from him:
There is no God. No one directs the universe.
Science does a great job explaining how, but cant necessarily say why about many things. That is more for philosophy.
You say you are a creationist, just an evolutionary one, so I'll pose the same question again. What makes your biblical interpretation more correct than that of different sect of Christianity? What reliable method are you using to interpret the bible that they are not using?
Science interprets evidence and has checks and balances such as peer review and scrutiny to help its case. As far as I know, religion has no such thing.
Sorry for assuming you haven't considered else. That was lame of me. I guess there is a good example of my bias toward religion, I assumed you were born into and have a bias to have god as the answer and then look for ways of how God can fit reality. So I suppose I am projecting that into you, which certainly isn't fair, or cool. I do have some reflecting to do on this, because of you, so thank you for that.
Interesting analogy, but I dont know about extraordinary. The odds that this machine would have instead drawn ten Queen of Spades were exactly the same as drawing ten Aces of Hearts, or any other combination of cards. So any ten cards drawn in the order they were drawn were equally possible, or equally impossible. In the card example, any other drawing of cards and the kidnappee would not have been alive to see. Perhaps like our universe, if the observed regularities (dont want to say law to imply law giver) of our universe were different, we might not be here. This is hardly surprising.
Lets consider probability again. If someone were asked to calculate the odds 500 hundred years ago that people fitting the description of you and I would be typing these exact words right at the exact times we did, wearing what we've got on in rooms that look just like they do now what would they be? Impossible to caluculate? And yet here we are. Do these odds prove we need a God to account for this happening?
I'll leave you with some Douglas Adams. Imagine a puddle waking up one morning and thinking, “This is an interesting world I find myself in, an interesting hole I find myself in, fits me rather neatly, doesn't it? In fact, it fits me staggeringly well, must have been made to have me in it!” This is such a powerful idea that as the sun rises in the sky and the air heats up and as, gradually, the puddle gets smaller and smaller, it's still frantically hanging on to the notion that everything's going to be all right, because this World was meant to have him in it, was built to have him in it; so the moment he disappears catches him rather by surprise. I think this may be something we need to be on the watch out for.