by jimwalton » Tue Aug 18, 2015 9:18 am
That's an awful image. Now I won't be able to get it out of my head either. Such things are unspeakable tragedies. Often the solution is not prayer, but the rich sharing what they have with the poor, and purging corruption out of governments. Both of those, as we know, are plagues of our world that never go away.
On another front, however, prayers don't work on a strict cause-and-effect principle. If they did, there would be another real problem. If God was obligated to answer my prayers at a higher rate than chance occurrence (because I'm a follower of his), then I become the one in charge, and He merely my retainer. Not only that, I would quickly become corrupted, for we all know the corruptive nature of power. But if God, to spare me such corruption, answered my prayers then at a rate lower than chance occurrence, then he is punishing me, so to speak; I'm actually worse off than I otherwise would have been. Instead, prayer is removed completely from the cause-and-effect continuum, so that I can neither count on my prayers being answered just because I prayed them, nor can I assume God will ignore me. Ultimately the decision and the action lie in his court, and my prayers may or may not bring any particular effect, and that's what the Bible teaches.
Therefore any kind of scientific studies (people who spontaneously recover from cancer who don't believe in God and who don't pray vs. plenty of people who are prayed for who still die; prayer works when yo have highly educated doctors and surgeons) are inadequate for the subject matter at hand, viz. prayer. (And, by the way, the doctors had done nothing for my friend. They couldn't take an MRI because of his pacemaker, and therefore couldn't administer tPA because of the potential harm. So all they did was monitor.) They are not the proper approach to understanding either the subject or its effects. It's like trying to prove by science the way I choose ice cream flavors. Sometimes it's my mood, sometimes the temperature, the day, the people I am with, the pictures on the restaurant wall, my preferences, the season, what I had most recently, or what everyone else is ordering. A scientist can't just figure out what my favorite flavors are and make a prediction. With so many factors, and many of them in my subconscious or environmentally motivated, a scientist's prediction is worthless. It's not a subject matter that is predictable.
Secondly, answers to prayer are not always scientifically observable, again making the subject matter irrelevant to scientific study. Many prayers are answered by normal means, since God uses normal means to make things happen. The Israelites walk around Jericho 7 times and blow trumpets. Just then, JUST THEN, a small earthquake happens and part of the wall collapses, enough for them to charge in and conquer the city. Is that an answer to prayer? Jericho is built on a fault-line. Earthquakes happen ALL the time. Does the event make it an answer to prayer? Does the timing? Or was it fortuitous happenstance? Science and reason can't answer this question.
Prayer is also answered at times with unexpected results—not the way the pray-er had in mind. In 2 Chron. 32, Sennacherib, king of Assyria, is laying siege to Jerusalem. King Hezekiah prays for deliverance. In 2 Chr. 32.21, the Assyrian army is annihilated and they retreat. An Egyptian legend says that they were infested by a plague of rodents. Was it an answer to prayer? Science and surveys can't answer that question either. Prayer is not able to be dissected, analyzed, and boxed up the way you seem to want.
We have two logical arguments in the mix:
1. If God does not exist, my prayer will not be answered.
2. My prayer was answered.
3. Therefore God exists. (!Q>!P)
This is an inadequate argument for a host of reasons, all of which involve #2 being impossible to prove or verify. But I'm inclined to see the culprit as correlative fallacy rather than confirmation bias ("What I wanted happened after I prayed, therefore it happened because I prayed"), but the ultimate failure is the same. The case in which #2 CAN be proved is if the "answer" involves something so astoundingly coincidental and/or something that our current understanding of nature considers impossible, such that Occam's Razor indicates that the simplest answer is divine intervention. But this is no longer the argument from efficacy of prayer, but rather the argument from miracles, which is what we are discussing.
The second argument is like it.
1. If God does not exist, my prayer will not be answered.
2. My prayer was not answered.
3. Therefore God does not exist. (Q>P)
This is also a logical fallacy called "affirming the consequent." Instead, what actually happened when prayer is not answered is this:
1. If God does not exist,my prayer will not be answered.
2. My prayer was not answered.
3. No conclusion is possible ( = we don't know if God exists or not).
The difficulty in making this statement is that you have to prove its first premise. When Christians say that "no is still an answer," they aren't trying to prove premise 2 of the argument from the efficacy of prayer, they're refuting this premise (i.e., providing a [legitimate] reason other than nonexistence for non-answer). It's possible, logically and theologically, that God can exist and not answer prayer according to our standards of cause and effect.
If the efficacy of prayer were the only argument for the existence of God, people who wanted to believe in God would have a pretty bad time of it. But it isn't. And if you want me to admit that there is no assurance of answered prayer, fine, because Christians believe that anyway. If it was to prove that the argument from the efficacy of prayer is invalid, well, technically it isn't. If anyone could manage to prove that even ONE indecent, ever, in the history of time, occurred as an answer to prayer, and NOT from some other cause, it would prove that God exists (or existed at that point in time). I have no idea how one could possibly go about proving this, however, so I will admit that the argument, while technically valid, is practically useless.
So the science of answers to prayer, or non-answers, don't really take us anywhere, because there is no such science (statistical reasoning, deductive reasoning, etc.). What I have is an event that I must interpret:
1. 19-year-old has an ischemic stroke in the brain stem, the location of life-sustaining actions.
2. Doctors are unable to act, but monitor his well-being as best they can. Parents are warned that death is a very real possibility.
3. People pray.
4. Student has a quick and unexpected recovery.
We are left to interpret, but "miracle from God" is not an unreasonable conclusion.